Kala Conti – Mares Hurdle 25/1 (Tuesday) – now 12/1
The value of this selection was heavily linked to the Champion Hurdle lineup and Kala Conti halves in priced when Betterdaysahead was confirmed for the Champion Hurdle. Lossiemouth’s connections have always maintained that she will also go there but things look set to change now with Lossiemouth the short-priced favourite for this race. As a result, I think there is each-way value to be had in the race, which may lie with Kala Conti. July Flower is as short as 7/2 for this off the back of her Leopardstown performance at Christmas but she wasn’t the best horse in that race at the weights. That was Kala Conti who was beaten 4 lengths giving the winner 5 pounds. A look back at her earlier form shows that she was just 3 lengths off winning a grade 1 juvenile at the DRF last year and has a prior defeat of Triumph Hurdle runner-up Kargese (and it is well reported how well the Juvenile form from last year is working out). Of her market rivals, Kargese herself will hardly be suited by the step up to 2 and half miles and Jade de Grugy is coming off an injury layoff. At 25/1 she represents good ew value, even if I wouldn’t suggest that she would beat Lossiemouth.The Wallpark – Stayers Hurdle 16/1 (Thursday) – now 10/1
Although having the option of the Pertemps, when it comes to JP horses, it is the owner, not the trainer that calls the tune and with Jeriko du Reponet entering plenty of notebooks with last week’s Exeter Pertemps qualification (and subsequent market support), it looks to me like The Wallpark will end up in the Stayers Hurdle. The Wallpark himself was extremely impressive in his own Pertemps qualification at Cheltenham (giving 4 pounds and a beating to current stayers 4th fav Gowel Road), and if that final was the initial plan, the fact that the jockey had no choice but to win is an indication of how well he responded to limited encouragement. Subsequently bought by JP (who is not in the process of buying duds), his latest effort at Ascot and the subsequent form of that race is certainly a worry. But I think that there is a chance that he just wasn’t in love with the track and he was certainly coming home the strongest in the race. I think Teahupoo is a vulnerable favourite and Home by the Lee has had 3 goes at the race and has never been good enough. The Wallpark, as a rapidly improving handicap hurdler, has a similar profile to Sire Du Berlais and in a weak race, I would give him a strong each-way chance.Karoline Banbou – Mares Novice 10/1 (Thursday) – now 7/1
She arrived from France with a big reputation and some smart flat form for the noteworthy team of JP McManus and Willie Mullins. However, she didn’t get off to an amazing start, losing on debut to stablemate Augusta Kate (who hasn’t done anything to frank that form). But watch that contest again and she travels beautifully into the race before being mugged late by that fast-finishing rival. She was entitled to come on from that race and while the form of her Maiden win isn’t amazing, she was giving 20 pounds to the runner-up and 8 to Swing Davis, who herself had a big reputation and who she comfortably had held when that rival fell. Her jumping needs to improve but there is no reason why it can’t and she certainly has a big engine. Another reason for this selection is that I am not in love with the top of the market. I think Maughreen is a nice horse but massively underpriced based on what she has done and who she is related to. Sixandahalf was impressive but again is short for a mare with one start over hurdles. Aurora Vega may miss this for Fairyhouse and the English are represented by 2 Paul Nicholas mares who I would be happy to take on.Cheltenham 2025 Each-way Trixie Tip
- Kala Conti – Mares Hurdle 12/1 (Tuesday)
- The Wallpark – Stayers Hurdle 10/1 (Thursday)
- Karoline Banbou – Mares Novice 7/1 (Thursday)
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